I don't think Trump & Steven Miller et al will wait until next year. Why would they? The blitzkrieg strategy is working. They have no interest in an orderly transition and as bullies, they want to minimize opposition. Trump said last year "don't worry, you won't have to vote again" and I think he means it.
I believe that as soon as there is a crisis they will use the opportunity to declare a National Emergency and leave those hoping for some orderly slide into chaos in the dust. I would love to be wrong and have more time for resistance to coalesce!
"On Monday, February 27, 1933, the Reichstag was set afire, and Hitler was ready.
Using the fire as an excuse, he declared martial law and assumed full power. The Reichstag Decree immediately suspended the right to assembly and freedom of speech. It outlawed political parties and removed all legal restraints on police and state violence.
In the name of protecting Germany from internal attack, Hitler gave himself the power to overrule state and local laws. And then he abolished them.
It just took one crisis and 40 days to destroy democratic Germany. "
Really interesting post - thanks! Even this end-stage scenario you describe seems like a 'best case scenario' for the US at present, and depends on people eventually doing the 'right thing' because it's gone too far. But it's already gone too far by most standards of decency - and these same republicans and enablers haven't prevented the current madness. If these people didn't abandon him when he incited an insurrection or pardoned convicted criminals, or even now, when he openly sides with Russia against democratic states and allies - what makes you confident that there will really be a 'too far' moment for them?
Thanks for another well-researched post. I don't think we will need to wait until Summer for the backlash to begin in earnest. As Marty wrote in his email titled "It's happening": "The push back from the public and sort of from GOP congress people is starting to happen..." -- And jumping to the dark end-game you are envisioning, I can imagine that Trump COULD be impeached, but think it unlikely that Vance would also be impeached (though one can have hopes and dreams!). Note that if the Dems do control Congress after the 2026 midterm elections, a double impeachment would mean that Jeffries (as Speaker of the House) would become POTUS. That would be one for the history books!! -- One important factor you have not considered (at least not in the context of today's analysis) is what happens on the world stage (Russia and China acting without restraint as we fight a (hopefully non-violent) Civil Unrest among ourselves on the home front). Way too many scary scenarios to consider this evening. Perhaps on a Zoom call?
I don't think Trump & Steven Miller et al will wait until next year. Why would they? The blitzkrieg strategy is working. They have no interest in an orderly transition and as bullies, they want to minimize opposition. Trump said last year "don't worry, you won't have to vote again" and I think he means it.
I believe that as soon as there is a crisis they will use the opportunity to declare a National Emergency and leave those hoping for some orderly slide into chaos in the dust. I would love to be wrong and have more time for resistance to coalesce!
"On Monday, February 27, 1933, the Reichstag was set afire, and Hitler was ready.
Using the fire as an excuse, he declared martial law and assumed full power. The Reichstag Decree immediately suspended the right to assembly and freedom of speech. It outlawed political parties and removed all legal restraints on police and state violence.
In the name of protecting Germany from internal attack, Hitler gave himself the power to overrule state and local laws. And then he abolished them.
It just took one crisis and 40 days to destroy democratic Germany. "
(From https://substack.com/@charlieangus)
Really interesting post - thanks! Even this end-stage scenario you describe seems like a 'best case scenario' for the US at present, and depends on people eventually doing the 'right thing' because it's gone too far. But it's already gone too far by most standards of decency - and these same republicans and enablers haven't prevented the current madness. If these people didn't abandon him when he incited an insurrection or pardoned convicted criminals, or even now, when he openly sides with Russia against democratic states and allies - what makes you confident that there will really be a 'too far' moment for them?
Thanks for another well-researched post. I don't think we will need to wait until Summer for the backlash to begin in earnest. As Marty wrote in his email titled "It's happening": "The push back from the public and sort of from GOP congress people is starting to happen..." -- And jumping to the dark end-game you are envisioning, I can imagine that Trump COULD be impeached, but think it unlikely that Vance would also be impeached (though one can have hopes and dreams!). Note that if the Dems do control Congress after the 2026 midterm elections, a double impeachment would mean that Jeffries (as Speaker of the House) would become POTUS. That would be one for the history books!! -- One important factor you have not considered (at least not in the context of today's analysis) is what happens on the world stage (Russia and China acting without restraint as we fight a (hopefully non-violent) Civil Unrest among ourselves on the home front). Way too many scary scenarios to consider this evening. Perhaps on a Zoom call?